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Over and Under Reactions Heading into Week 9 of College Football

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Overreactions

AK: American Athletic Conference – For the record I love seeing new teams in the top 25.  I think it is great for College Football having Gameday in a place like Temple.  However, those three teams, Memphis, Houston, and Temple, have not played each other yet in conference play.  Memphis is the only team before this week to play someone in the Top 25.  I think with Temple playing Notre Dame today we will find out that the AAC may not be as strong as we thought.

AK: College Football Playoff Rankings – The first CFP playoff rankings comes out on Tuesday and while I am looking forward to it, I think it’s very early to take much stock in who is in this top 4.  Last year Ohio State was not even in the Top 10 of the first rankings and they ended obviously with the championship.  So while we can see who is positioned now, it wont be important as to who actually gets there later.

SM:  Heisman Talk – Debating is pointless at this point in the season.  Right now, it is either Leonard Fournette or Trevone Boykin.  We will need to keep watching and enjoying football to determine who will join the Heisman House.

SM:  JT Barrett – Oh, he is suspended?  I wonder how they will replace him.  They better not be in the CFP top 4!  But wait, the guy that will step in for him won a national championship, right?  Would have been drafted in the first/second round after what?  Four starts?  Cardale and the Buckeyes are fine.

Underreactions

AK: College Overtime – I was lucky enough to be at the Oregon, ASU game this thursday and it may have been the best game i have ever been too. Part of that reason is because I am an Oregon fan the other part is the way college overtime works.  I think the NFL should adopt this way of overtime.  There is nothing more exciting than watching two teams start at 25 yard line knowing they have to score.  Adding to the fact that having to go for two makes it so a team WILL win.  Unlike the NFL where you can play to a tie, College Football overtime is set up to find a winner and for fan enjoyment.

AK: JT Barrett – The change to JT Barrett can not be understated.  The struggles of Cardale Jones and that offense were real and he had more than enough chances to make the team his and was unable to do so.  Now, with Barrett facing suspension for operating a vehicle while intoxicated, can Cardale find the confidence that allowed him to win the final 3 games of the year and a National Championship last year or could we see Ohio State back to a sputtering offense making for a vulnerable offense.

SM:  High Powered Offenses – TCU and Clemson are sitting at 2 and 3, respectively.  They put points on the board.  The only team that could contain these two teams offensive output shouldn’t have punted.  The Horned Frogs and Tigers are filling in for the Ducks in the top 5 this year as the “if you don’t score 40 we will beat you” team.  Keep it rolling, boys.  Rooting for you.

SM:  Utah – Finally!  I wasn’t a believer.  With the loss to USC the Utes drop to 13.  They will hover around 10 for the rest of the season.

Betting Lines

AK:

  • Take Nebraska -10 against Purdue.  Nebraska hasn’t lost by double digits this year and won’t today.
  • Tulane will cover -31.5 against Memphis today.  Memphis will be looking ahead to next week.
  • I would also take the under on Georgia vs Florida at 48 points.  Lots of defense and Georgia is starting a new quarterback.

SM:

  • Take Miami to cover.  They are getting 12 points and have that whole “us against the world” mentality going on.
  • Clemson is giving 10.5.  I normally steer clear of double digit favorites, but Clemson will win by two touchdowns minimum.  Take Clemson, eat the points.

Credit all authors of images used in both article and as cover image : Alex Kjellsen and Sean Melmer

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