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NL West Preview

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The top of the NL West had a whirlwind of an offseason, with a bunch of big names coming and going. The biggest move in the West’s arms race was clearly Zack Grienke going from LA to Arizona for over 200 million dollars. Shelby Miller, Johnny Cueto, Scott Kazmir and Jeff Samardzija also were brought in by the top teams in the division, giving the West plenty of pitching power. However, that doesn’t mean every game will be 1-0, the Dodgers, Giants and Diamondbacks all still have potent lineups, so runs will be scored (especially when they play Colorado and San Diego). So with all that being said, let’s jump right into the predictions:

1. Dodgers

Projected Lineup

Player POS AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS BB K
1 Howie Kendrick 2B 472 59 8 53 8 0.294 0.339 0.400 0.739 30 85
2 Corey Seager SS 520 66 16 64 4 0.271 0.320 0.429 0.749 35 120
3 Justin Turner 3B 444 68 14 62 6 0.302 0.367 0.473 0.840 41 81
4 Adrian Gonzalez 1B 558 84 26 84 0 0.278 0.346 0.478 0.824 56 104
5 Yasiel Puig OF 487 75 18 70 8 0.283 0.354 0.462 0.816 50 115
6 Andre Ethier OF 348 50 10 45 2 0.282 0.354 0.437 0.791 37 69
7 Yasmani Grandal C 356 54 15 45 1 0.236 0.352 0.402 0.754 63 97
8 Joc Pederson OF 518 86 27 73 11 0.222 0.348 0.421 0.769 96 190
Projected Rotation

Player POS IP W L ERA WHIP K BB SwStrike Fastball
1 Clayton Kershaw SP 215 18 5 2.18 0.97 261 43 15.9% 93.6 mph
2 Kenta Maeda SP 165 10 8 3.49 1.22 140 39
3 Scott Kazmir SP 168 9 9 3.80 1.27 133 53 10.3% 91.3 mph
4 Alex Wood SP 140 8 7 3.73 1.30 117 43 8.2% 89.1 mph
5 Mike Bolsinger SP 75 2 2 4.20 1.41 65 29 8.7% 87.0 mph
6 Hyun-Jin Ryu SP 115 8 5 3.76 1.26 95 28

The Dodgers are the reigning NL West champs, and despite losing Greinke they should still be the top dogs after 162 games. Kershaw is the best pitcher in the world, and what he does year after year is just staggering. Not to mention he is only going to be 28 this year. After Kershaw, the rotation thins out without Greinke, but they still have plenty of quality depth with Kazmir, Wood, Meada, and Ryu. The lineup should be good again as well, with vets such as Howie Kendrick and A-Gon leading the way. Where this lineup could really take off, is if the youngsters take the next step. Joc Peserson showed flashes of greatness, but had an absolutely brutal second half of the season. Puig isn’t exactly a youngster, but is still in his mid 20s and showed he can carry this team a few years ago. Last but not least is stud prospect Corey Seager, who will be the teams starting shortstop. If Seager can hit like he did in the minors, you are looking at this seasons Carlos Correa.

2. Giants

Projected Lineup

Player POS AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS BB K
1 Denard Span OF 422 59 5 47 19 0.284 0.342 0.384 0.726 36 45
2 Joe Panik 2B 465 61 7 53 3 0.297 0.354 0.404 0.758 39 54
3 Matthew Duffy 3B 549 69 9 61 13 0.290 0.332 0.399 0.731 32 102
4 Buster Posey C 505 70 19 73 1 0.309 0.373 0.473 0.846 50 55
5 Hunter Pence OF 528 76 20 74 12 0.275 0.329 0.453 0.782 42 109
6 Brandon Crawford SS 493 67 15 62 5 0.252 0.319 0.422 0.741 44 116
7 Brandon Belt 1B 478 74 18 68 8 0.278 0.351 0.474 0.825 51 139
8 Angel Pagan OF 355 41 3 34 10 0.276 0.319 0.361 0.680 22 58
Projected Rotation

Player POS IP W L ERA WHIP K BB SwStrike Fastball
1 Madison Bumgarner SP 206 14 8 2.88 1.04 215 41 12.5% 92.1 mph
2 Johnny Cueto SP 197 12 10 3.29 1.13 177 45 10.0% 92.6 mph
3 Jeff Samardzija SP 207 11 11 3.83 1.24 176 51 9.8% 94.2 mph
4 Jake Peavy SP 145 7 9 3.79 1.19 111 38 8.0% 90.2 mph
5 Chris Heston SP 169 8 10 3.83 1.28 126 58 8.9% 89.0 mph
6 Matt Cain SP 105 4 8 4.97 1.31 82 35 9.0% 90.7 mph

The Giants brought in Cueto and Samardzija to bolster a struggling rotation this winter, and also signed De “Nard Dog” Span to play CF and bat leadoff. Buster Posey and Mad Bum might be the best battery combo in baseball, but only one thing really matters for this team. And that’s this: #evenyear

3. D-Backs

Projected Lineup

Player POS AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS BB K
1 Jean Segura 2B 525 59 6 49 25 0.263 0.292 0.341 0.633 18 80
2 A.J. Pollock OF 567 89 16 71 30 0.300 0.352 0.459 0.811 45 88
3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B 542 107 29 94 17 0.312 0.421 0.548 0.969 102 141
4 David Peralta OF 495 73 16 70 8 0.293 0.346 0.459 0.805 38 103
5 Welington Castillo C 331 44 14 44 0 0.245 0.307 0.426 0.733 25 87
6 Jake Lamb 3B 503 65 11 57 4 0.256 0.324 0.386 0.710 49 150
7 Socrates Brito OF 300 31 5 31 10 0.253 0.288 0.367 0.655 14 63
8 Nick Ahmed SS 415 46 7 41 6 0.236 0.284 0.351 0.635 28 74
Projected Rotation

Player POS IP W L ERA WHIP K BB SwStrike Fastball
1 Zack Greinke SP 201 14 8 2.96 1.04 186 43 12.0% 91.8 mph
2 Shelby Miller SP 194 11 11 3.57 1.26 158 71 9.2% 94.1 mph
3 Patrick Corbin SP 145 9 7 3.54 1.24 130 33 10.8% 92.4 mph
4 Robbie Ray SP 168 6 6 4.07 1.37 140 70 9.0% 93.3 mph
5 Rubby De La Rosa SP 178 6 13 4.10 1.36 139 60 11.1% 94.3 mph

The D-Backs really put their dick on the table and went all in this offseason. They signed Greinke to a 200 million dollar contract, traded away the farm for Shelby Miller, and also traded for Jean Segura. I totally get the first two moves, but the Segura one baffles me. It’s true Arizona got no production at the plate from Nick Ahmed and Aaron Hill last year, but replacing them with Segura is a lateral move. Segura has been the worst hitter in baseball since the first half of 2014, and he isn’t a good fielder. Batting him at the top of the lineup would be a mistake. And with the exception of Goldie, Pollock and Peralta, this is a pretty thin lineup. However, their pitching and defense should be good enough to compete for a wild card spot. I really like Patrick Corbin as a sleeper this year behind Shelby and Greinke, he recovered from TJ last year, and will be at full strength this year. I also like Robbie Ray as a deep sleeper in fantasy this year.

4. Padres

Projected Lineup

Player POS AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS BB K
1 Jon Jay OF 475 57 4 44 5 0.265 0.330 0.333 0.663 36 84
2 Cory Spangenberg 2B 315 38 4 32 11 0.263 0.311 0.365 0.676 21 80
3 Wil Myers 1B 400 55 13 48 10 0.250 0.325 0.400 0.725 44 105
4 Matt Kemp OF 540 76 22 75 11 0.270 0.324 0.456 0.780 41 137
5 Yangervis Solarte 3B 515 66 13 62 1 0.270 0.326 0.413 0.739 40 57
6 Derek Norris C 435 57 12 51 3 0.257 0.320 0.405 0.725 38 108
7 Alexei Ramirez SS 535 62 9 56 18 0.260 0.296 0.368 0.664 26 64
8 Melvin Upton OF 368 47 10 39 15 0.220 0.294 0.351 0.645 38 120
Projected Rotation

Player POS IP W L ERA WHIP K BB SwStrike Fastball
1 James Shields SP 197 10 12 3.61 1.27 188 63 12.4% 91.0 mph
2 Andrew Cashner SP 158 9 9 3.76 1.31 132 50 8.2% 94.8 mph
3 Tyson Ross SP 191 12 9 3.06 1.27 199 76 12.3% 92.8 mph
4 Robbie Erlin SP 121 6 7 5.36 1.50 88 32 8.2% 90.1 mph

Outside of Wil Myers and Matt Kemp this offense will be atrocious once again. The rotation has some talent with Ross and Shields, but as you can see they have zero depth, with only 4 guys even projected for 100 innings. Yikes.

5. Rockies

Projected Lineup

Player POS AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS BB K
1 Charlie Blackmon OF 558 85 16 73 29 0.281 0.333 0.428 0.761 37 98
2 DJ LeMahieu 2B 522 66 5 52 19 0.293 0.346 0.374 0.720 42 99
3 Carlos Gonzalez OF 482 77 32 85 5 0.272 0.330 0.527 0.857 41 122
4 Nolan Arenado 3B 586 87 32 98 2 0.283 0.321 0.522 0.843 30 96
5 Gerardo Parra OF 528 68 14 62 10 0.288 0.329 0.439 0.768 30 91
6 Ben Paulsen 1B 385 51 12 49 2 0.252 0.311 0.413 0.724 32 118
7 Nick Hundley C 268 34 8 33 3 0.276 0.316 0.425 0.741 15 62
8 Trevor Story SS 325 34 12 44 7 0.231 0.286 0.391 0.677 25 114
Projected Rotation

Player POS IP W L ERA WHIP K BB SwStrike Fastball
1 Jorge de la Rosa SP 165 7 12 4.04 1.33 135 67 11.7% 91.4 mph
2 David Hale SP 120 4 9 5.02 1.46 84 38 11.1% 90.4 mph
3 Chad Bettis SP 145 5 5 4.34 1.47 118 56 9.8% 92.0 mph
4 Chris Rusin SP 140 5 5 5.27 1.55 89 42 8.3% 89.5 mph
5 Jon Gray SP 125 5 9 4.18 1.39 115 45 10.1% 94.4 mph
The Rockies would feel blessed to only have 4 starters like the Padres, considering the shitshow rotation they have. In the current pitcher dominate era of baseball we live in, to have two guys with projected ERAs over 5, and no one below 4 is just plain embarrassing. Yes, they will outscore a team on occasion, but for the most part this is the kind of massacre Rox fans can expect nightly.


Credit all authors of images used in both article and as cover image : Sean

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